Showing posts with label Boise State. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Boise State. Show all posts

Tuesday, October 19, 2010

Football 101 - The BCS Polls

Landry Jones' trash stache has lead Oklahoma to the first #1 ranking in the BCS Poll

It's Tuesday! Know what that means?  Correct - buckets of beer are $5 off at Crunchy's.  Also, it's Football 101.  Today's topic is the BCS Poll, the magical printout of glory that determines the high-level bowls.  It can be equated to a Computer Jesus with too much free time on its hands....or hardware...or something.

The BCS system started in 1998.  Before that, the National Title game rotated between the Fiesta, Orange, and Sugar bowls.  However, the Rose Bowl always had the top Big Ten and Pac-10 teams, so it was a giant clusterfuck and it was up to the media voters to sort it out when all the dust cleared.  AWESOME SYSTEM.  The BCS has 3 different components: The USA Today Coaches' Poll (comprised of selected Coaches around the country), the Harris Poll (former players, administrators, media members), and the BCS Computer ranking system.  The Computer ranking is actually a combination of 6 different computer rankings, all using a different equation to determine a team's "score."

The Computer Ranking is usually what causes the most frustration in the world of college football.  In all of the computer polls, the amount you win a game by does not matter - it's limited to your record and the record of those you've played.  WHY, YOU ASK? Basically, the BCS didn't want top teams running up the score as much as possible in order to get additional points in the BCS computers.  Computers can't tell if you're being a dick, but the human voters can (usually).  Although these equations have been tweaked and polished over the years, there are still some oddities that pop up because of the formula.  For example, in the Sagarin computer ranking, Oregon State (3-3) is ranked higher than Alabama (6-1), who only lost to a ranked team.

Bubbles is upset with the pollsters' love for Boise State

Okay, so there are 3 polls, each with an equal influence in a team's BCS ranking.  In the two polls done by people, normally a team won't be "leapfrogged" if they keep winning, regardless of who they play.  For example, Boise State won't play ANYONE tough for the rest of the season but they're not going to move down in the human polls if they win against them all.  The exception to this rule was shown earlier this year - Oregon was ranked just behind Boise State, but jumped them after the Ducks dismantled #9 Stanford.  Clearly, Oregon looked much better after that than BSU's awesome win over Toledo, so jumping is justified.

As the season goes on, there will be fewer "leapfrogs" in the human polls, the reason being that there just aren't many statement games left on the slate where a team can make a case for jumping someone above them.  Since conference play has started, teams will face one, maybe two, high-ranking opponents and must disembowel them to have a chance to jump.  The computer polls, however, are a different story.  As teams from the major conferences play more games, their strength of schedule goes higher.  For example, Iowa will play Wisconsin, Michigan State, and Ohio State (combined 19-2 record) in the next month.  Boise State's toughest opponents, on the other hand, are Nevada, Fresno State, and Hawaii.  Although Boise State's computer score will increase with each win, Iowa's will increase faster.

Remember, the wins of opponents (and sometimes your opponents' opponents) will affect a teams' ranking.  That's why you heard many sports conessieurs go nuts when Wisconsin took down Ohio State - it makes MSU's computer ranking go higher.  As the season goes on, the computer poll will change significantly - even if every team in the top ten wins, changes will still occur in the BCS standings due to strength of schedule.


That's a small taste of the BCS formula.  There's about a million and three rules for eligibility and bowl selection, but we'll come to that later in the year. Here's a link to the current BCS Standings.  Go Green!

Thursday, September 9, 2010

Tucson to D.C. and Everything In Between

Thursdays I will be throwing together some news from other  Big Ten teams and national news, if it happens to be either entertaining of interesting.  Not much Big Ten news this week, however - everyone played cupcakes except for Purdue and Northwestern.

Best Game of the Past Week - Boise State @ Virginia Tech

Both BSU and VaTech have been consistently high on the national radar in recent memory.  After winning all 14 of their games last season, BSU faced Virginia Tech in the clash of hideous jerseys (my retinas are bleeding, if that's possible).



Boise State went up 17 - 0 in the first half, VT rallied all the way back to take the lead in the 4th, then Boise won it in the final minute.  Sucks to be you, Tyrod Taylor.  Interesting to note that Boise has gotten only one 4-star recruit in the last 3 years I think?  By comparison, Michigan State has 6 or 7 of those in this year's freshmen class.  Boise State's only other test before engaging the cupcakes of the WAC conference is Oregon State.  Go Beavers!

Worst Game of the Past Week - Army @ Eastern Michigan

The two teams combined for 96 yards of passing.  That's both...together...A handful of QB's around the country had more than that in a half last Saturday.  More or less all you need to know.  I cant' even find pictures of this debacle.  Apparently that's how bad it was.  EMU's coach, Ron English, is now 0-13.  He used to be the Defensive Coordinator at Michigan and some had hoped he'd get the hire after Lloyd Carr retired - just remember, Michigan fans, it can get worse.


Other National News

- Mark Herzlich, a Boston College LB, returned to the field on Saturday for the first time in two years.  This after recovering from Ewing's Sarcoma, a rare bone cancer.  This is a pretty good wrap up of his day: http://www.nydailynews.com/sports/college/2010/09/05/2010-09-05_mark_herzlich_returns_to_field_after_beating_ewings_sarcoma_and_boston_college_b.html

- Nick Foles is only getting more publicity at the University of Arizona.  Foles was an underclassmen at MSU when he made the decision to transfer - Brian Hoyer was starting and it appeared Kirk Cousins would beat him out for the backup spot.  When news came that Keith Nichol would also be competing, he sought playing time elsewhere.  It has worked out amazingly well for him, as he was All Pac-10 Honorable mention last year, and is considered one of the best QB's in the Pac10 heading into this season.  Definitely keep an eye on him.




Big Ten News....or...lack thereof

I'd like to go over things that happened to Big Ten teams this weekend, but I just don't care about OSU vs. Marshall.  Michigan State fans should watch the ND-UMich game this weekend to get a glimpse of both rivals' true abilities.  MSU plays ND the week after and goes on the road to Michigan on October 9th.



There you have it.  Pregame analysis and predictions are coming tomorrow for the FAU game at Ford Field.  THE PLACE WILL BE ROCKING.  Actually, they've sold less than half the tickets available...good thing it's on FAU's tab.  Go Green!